Posts Tagged ‘Turn’
MOST PEOPLE FAIL TO GET TASKS COMPLETED ON TIME
HEADLINE WALL STREET JOURNAL July 21, 2010
“HOUSING MARKET STUMBLES”
I love it when I read these types of headlines. I always get a chuckle and say “So, what did you expect?” The $ 8,000 home buyer credit was not renewed. FHA, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have tightened lending requirements. The “BIG BANKS” are imposing their own ridiculous rules on top of the government rules. And you expect the housing market to thrive. To quote a cartoon character, “DOH!”
Here are some of the particulars in the story: The U.S. Census Bureau reports single family housing starts in June fell by 0.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 454,000. The U.S. started 1.47 million in 2006 before the bubble burst. The article goes on to claim that a variety of factors have led to a flagging confidence including a sluggish labor market, global turmoil and falling stock prices.
I find it amazing that these so called experts in Washington and New York are clueless as to why we are in trouble on all fronts. Let’s take the labor market. I’m no economist or Harvard scholar but I can sure figure out why the job market is in such turmoil. How about the constant barrage of criticism, rules and regulations that keep CEO and the local business owners guessing “what’s next”
Over the past 4 years the auto industry, banking, financial, and insurance industries have been terrorized by Washington and special interest groups. They have to explain everything from CEO pay to why they’re not being green enough for the environmental groups.
Don’t get me wrong, Wall Street and the banking sector went on a GREED spree like none in history. But with that said, all of the banking and financial sectors have been placed under government rule with all kinds of draconian regulations that have stifled creativity and confidence. Washington has taken their typical reactive and not proactive stance.
Now let’s take business, especially big business. They have tax incentives to take jobs overseas. Does it make sense to anyone for businesses to be laying off people here and exporting jobs elsewhere? Obviously it makes good business sense. The biggest complaint is that taxes overseas are better than and not as high as the U.S. This might be the case but I have seen some reports that show most major companies pay very little federal income tax and most get a major credit. So, is it really taxes, or could it be something else? Cheap labor in some third world country may make the quarterly P and L look good for stock holders but eventually that catches up to you when no one here has any money to buy your product.
Global economic turmoil and falling stock prices are all a factor of Governments around the world becoming so big and cumbersome they stifle growth. In some countries the retirement age is 55 and then people live off the government dole for the rest of their lives.Tax rates in some countries are in the 80% range to pay for all the government social programs and an ever increasing portion of the population doesn’t pay taxes at all (sound familiar?). And you wonder why Europe is on the verge of collapse. Is this a model we want to follow??
Back here in the US all we hear from our leaders is negativity. Words matter and you have to understand they say them more for political reasons. A scared population is a compliant one that will agree with your political ideas. And this has worked well: think 9-11, war in Iraq, TARP Stimulus 1 2 or 3 (I forgot, they keep adding them on), saving GM ‘for America’, and the list could go on. In all of these events our leaders increased the fear factor to new heights making people believe if they did not go along all hell was going to break loose and we would all be out on the streets. Americans and most of Europe are paralyzed with fear escalated by our elected leaders. The job market and the housing market won’t turn around till Main Street starts to feel good about its future.
So what does this mean for Real Estate investors? You need to pick your markets very carefully. The criteria I use is my Three Tier marketing system which was published in my September 2009 newsletter. Here is the link: http://http://archive.constantcontact.com/fs050/1101755221758/archive/1102703583402.html.
The best markets may not be where you are investing now. For example Florida, my home state, is very anti business. The Government seems to go out of its way to discourage business from moving here. They want tourism, service jobs and retirees. That is living in the past. We need high paying good quality jobs if Florida is to survive and thrive in the market place.
On the other hand, just to our north, Georgia is grabbing every job that brings in good pay, health care and is a asset to the community and the State. Companies from all over the world are signing lease contracts and purchase contracts and plan to hire tens of thousands of Georgians. Both states have housing problems and job losses but one is being proactive and the other is sitting on South Beach having a cold one and taking in the sights!!!Which state will improve faster?
All over the country this is being repeated, with some states fighting for every job while others are living in the past. There have been a number of articles in national publications that more and more companies and people are moving to Southern and Mid Western States. Don’t believe it’s because of the weather. Northern States and Western States are still living in the 50’s and 60’s mentally when government was supposed to know what was best for the people and the business community. They are all super high tax states and still not able to see what their problems are. They are all on the verge of bankruptcy and they blame everyone but themselves. Think California, New York, New Jersey and any one of the New England states. So as an investor you must really do your homework before you invest in an area especially if you are not from that area. What was a good bet in the past might not be safe any longer.
Due diligence is more important they ever. Take the extra time on this part of your Real Estate business and big profits will come your way. Because the rest of the world is scared to death and can’t or won’t make decisions so profits are there for the taking. You just need to have courage to go where others are afraid to.
Paul J Da Costa
Is a licensed Realtor in Georgia. He is a Real Estate investor, educator, and national speaker.
Paul is available for select speaking engagements and can be reached at 941-716-2597
Tags: auto industry, bank, banking sector, banks, buyer, buyer credit, cartoon character, contract, fannie mae, fha, financial sectors, freddie mac, global turmoil, GOOD, government rule, government rules, harvard scholar, home, Housing, housing market, income, insurance, insurance industries, interest, investors, IRA, market, money, profits, rate, real, Real Estate, real estate investor, Realtor, retirement, ridiculous rules, special interest groups, STILL, stock prices, Tax, taxes, time, Turn, u s census, u s census bureau, wall street
3 Things That Must Happen If The Housing Market Is To Turn Around…
There has been a lot of talk from Washington and Wall Street about the continuing housing slump and foreclosure problems. The lament is about how to get the foreclosure rates down and housing moving again. Some say the
$ 8,000.00 first time home buyers credit was a bust. But consider this: every house that was sold with the $ 8,000.00 credit was a success because someone just became a homeowner for the first time. Realtors, closing agents, home inspectors, lenders and a host of other people collected a pay check for that one sale.
Washington keeps saying that banks must make funds available to lend. Banks say they are doing just that, and point to all the houses that are reported as sold from the National Association of Realtors and other data collecting agencies. While it’s technically true that there are loans being made, there are not enough to make the impact needed in the market to really get it moving in the right direction. So here is what I feel what must happen if this market is to get moving for real.
1) Congress and the President, as well as the private sector, must stop talking about creating jobs and actually work together to create them. Just as important, they must keep jobs from going elsewhere. Don’t worry I’m not going to get political on you. I’ll leave that to people who have nothing else to amuse them.
American business has to start looking at the long term business plans not just the next quarter.
(Wall Street created this monster) The CEO’s can only care about the next quarter earnings and being a Wall Street favorite. So they sacrifice quality and service, looking for the cheapest labor they can find and cutting corners. This way they hit their numbers, Wall Street is happy, the CEO is considered a genius and the cycle starts all over again. But what really happens is every time people here are laid off, and the jobs are outsourced to a country with fewer regulations and lower wages, it limits the number of people who can afford their product here. It’s a vicious circle.
Now our leaders in Washington have to take as much blame for this as the CEO’s because they make it hard to do business in America. They have so many overlapping regulations and laws it’s impossible to keep track of them. Hiring regulations and tax laws change all the time and each government agency has its own set of requirements. It’s hard to plan your future if the rules changes daily. Fear of lawsuits is a big and costly issue. Employee and consumer safety must be prime considerations, but frivolous and outright stupid lawsuits must be stopped.
I know the Government and Private sector can work together to solve this and many more issues. The economy will not get better if people don’t have jobs or feel their job is next to be eliminated. Spending will not increase as these people will either not have the income, or will hold on to what they do have, just in case.
2) Banks and other agencies must give us a true picture on the actual number of homes that have been foreclosed on and that are behind on payments. The number of homes that are reported and the numbers of homes that are on the market are not even close. Conventional wisdom says that there is a big ‘shadow inventory’ out there that nobody wants to talk about. This is flat out wrong. But until people have a clear picture of the problem how do we know how to fix it? And Government alone is not capable of changing this perception. Until this is revealed people will not feel comfortable making any decisions and will take a wait- and-see approach.
3) Finally the housing market is not going to improve if the banking and the financing industries continue to refuse to work with the small investor. A large number of the foreclosed homes are in complete disarray and are unable to be sold to an end user. So this only leaves the investor class to pick up these properties and make them usable. But banks and other agencies have put so many hurdles in the way of small investors it’s hard to get a deal done. Private cash is available but harder to raise because of the reasons stated above. FHA with the 90 day rules and 180 day rules makes it almost impossible to fix a house up and sell it to an end user quickly. These rules don’t help home buyers at all, but somebody in Washington feels that they have the right to dictate how much money an investor can make. And the banks add their own set of rules on top of the Government. Some of the big banks won’t even loan money on a house that the owner has owned for less than 90 days. And others dictate how much profit investors can make for up to 6 months. (These rules, however, don’t apply to the banks themselves)
It’s the small investor who will restart the housing market, not the big institutional investor who buys 500 homes at a time ( and who, by the way, still needs to sell to someone) The small investor is the key to the whole recovery. Banks and the government need to work together to allow the small investor to buy homes and fix them up and sell them or keep them for their rental portfolio.
Paul J Da Costa
Is a licensed Realtor in Georgia. He is a Real Estate investor, educator, and national speaker.
Paul is available for select speaking engagements and can be reached at 941-716-2597
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